Third Workshop on


Hotel Sol Galúa, La Manga, Spain

15 May - 17 May, 2003


Tursday May, 15th

Arrival of the participants.

17:00 Welcome & Opening

Session 1. Invited epidemics session.
17:15-18:00 Gavin Gibson (Edinburgh, Scotland) Bayesian estimation for percolation models of disease spread in plant communities
18:00-18:45 Kari Auranen (Helsinki, Finland) Bayesian inference for recurrent infections: latent process models for binary data

Welcome dinner from 21:00 in the ''Mirador'' lounge.

Friday May, 16th

Session 2 Invited spatial session.

9:00-9:45 Rasmus Waagepetersen (Aalborg, Denmark) Poisson-log Gaussian models for point patterns and spatial count data
9:45-10:30 Martin Skold (Lund, Sweden) Robust MCMC methods for spatial GLMM's

10:30-11:00 Coffee break

Session 3 Contributed talks

11:00-11:20 Paul Blackwell (Sheffield, UK) Bayesian analysis of deformed tesselation models
11:20-11:40 Breedette Hayes (Dublin, Ireland) An Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach for spatial models
11:40-12:00 M. Victoria Ibañez (Castellón, Spain) Bayesian estimation of the defect status in visual longitudinal data
12:00-12:20 Eve Mathieu (Montpellier, France) Bayesian analysis of survival, application to clinical trials in pharmacology

12:20-14:30 Break, Lunch from 13:00

Session 4 Invited to contribute

14:30-15:00 Sudipto Banerjee (Minneapolis, USA) Directional Rates of Change Under Spatial Process Models
15:00-15:30 Igor Pruenster (Pavia, Italy) Some results for nonparametric priors derived from Levy processes.
15:30-16:00 Pier Luigi Conti (Rome, Italy) On some limit theorems for the quantile function of a Dirichlet process, with applications to confidence bands.

16:00-16:30: Coffee break

Session 5 Invited to contribute

16:30-17:00 Antonio Pievatolo (Milan, Italy ) Bayesian analysis and prediction of failures in underground trains
17:00-17:30 Concepción Ausín (Madrid, Spain) General queueing systems analysis based on the method of stages
17:30-18:00 Juan José Abellan (Valencia, Spain) Analysis of the Renal Transplant Waiting List in the Valencian Country (Spain)

From 19:30: Dinner

22:00 Poster Session

Saturday May, 17th

Session 3 Invited difusions session.

9:00-9:45 Nick Polson (Chicago, USA) Nonlinear filtering of Stochastic Differential Equations with Jumps
9:45-10:30 Michael Pitt (Warwick, UK) Bayesian analysis of observed and partially observed multivariate diffusions

10:30-11:00 Coffee break

Session 3 Invited to contribute.

11:00-11:30 Carmen Fernández (Lancaster, UK) Bayesian inference on fractal processes using multiresolution approximation
11:30-12:00 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos (Lancaster, UK) Bayesian inference for Non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Stochastic Volatility processes.
12:00-12:30 Giovanni Petris ( Fayetteville, USA) A stochastic volatility model with long memory

12:30-14:30 Break, Lunch from 13:00

Session 4 Contributed talks

14:30-14:50 Anastasia Papavasiliou (New-York, USA) Parameter estimation in stochastic filtering
14:50-15:10 John Bather (Brighton, UK) Tracking and data fusion
15:10-15:30 Petar M. Djuric (Stony Brook, NY, USA) Bayesian parameter estimation of processes that arise in chemical kinetics
15:30-15:50 Scott Schmidler (Durham, USA) Bayesian model selection in stochastic segment models and stochastic grammars
15:50-16:10 Nial Friel (Glasgow, Scotland) Bayesian model choice for discretely observed diffusion processes

16:10-16:30 Coffee break

Sesion 5 Contributed talks

16:30-16:50 Jim Griffin (Canterbury, UK) Dirichlet process modelling with dependence
16:50-17:10 Antonio Lijoi (Pavia, Italy) Exponential functionals and means of neutral-to-the-right priors
17:10-17:30 Luca La Rocca (Pavia, Italy) Building an a priori hazard rate from a compound Poisson process
17:30-17:50 Pedro Silos (Iowa City, USA) Bayesian dynamic factor models for large datasets: measuring and forecating macroeconomic data.

From 19:00: Sight seeing tour and dinner in Cartagena.